Rajveer Rawlin received his MBA in finance from the Cardiff Metropolitan University, Wales, UK. He is an avid market watcher having followed capital markets in the US and India since 1993. His research interests includes areas of Capital Markets, Banking, Investment Analysis and Portfolio Management and has over 20 years of experience in the above areas covering the US and Indian Markets. He has several publications in the above areas. The views expressed here are his own and should not be construed as advice to buy or sell securities.

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Tuesday, 26 April 2016

The Case for a Global Recession in 2017 and Beyond – The Obvious Evidence


  1. Will it affect the Indian economy or it may cause the major impact to our economy?

  2. With FII's having a significant stake in our capital market, capital outflows could present a major problem for the Rupee and the stock market.

    1. Implementing the taxation for the FII is to winding up or reducing the investments in the Indian market or is it to encourage the Indian investors. Is there any other fact in that decision of the government

  3. FII's are major investors, so we don't wan't to turn them off. This is more intended to bolster the governments tax receipts long term and in the process it evens the playing field for the domestic investor on the taxation of capital gains.

    1. Will it make any change in the investment from the Indian investors in the market


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My Asset Allocation Strategy (Indian Market)

Cash - 40%
Bonds - 20%
Fixed deposit - 20%
Gold - 5%
Stocks - 10% ( Majority of this in dividend funds)
Other Asset Classes - 5%

My belief is that stocks are relatively overvalued compared to bonds and attractive buying opportunities can come along after 1-2 years. In a deflationary scenario no asset class does well other than U.S bonds, the U.S dollar and the Japanese yen, so better to be safe than sorry with high quality government bonds and fixed deposits. Cash is the king always. Of course this varies with the person's age.